Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 1Sampdoria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Napoli
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Friday, April 7 at 6pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 2-3 Cremonese
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A
We said: Lecce 0-1 Sampdoria
Lecce and Sampdoria have had fewer shots than any other Serie A sides this season, but at least Samp have started to find the net regularly in recent weeks. They can therefore edge a high-stakes encounter; consigning their hosts to a seventh straight defeat and keeping their own paper-thin survival dreams alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Sampdoria |
50.97% ( 0.02) | 25.84% ( -0.01) | 23.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
