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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
0 - 1
Napoli


Walukiewicz (39'), Holmgren Pedersen (41'), Coco (56'), Ricci (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Roma
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Napoli

Torino and Napoli have both recorded four victories by a one-goal margin this season - only Lazio had more after 13 Serie A matches - so it could be a closely fought contest. As the away side are proving so difficult to beat - and Toro have slumped badly since the end of September - expect Conte and co to leave Turin with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.11%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Torino had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
27.32% (0.296 0.3) 27.56% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 45.11% (-0.367 -0.37)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.17% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)58.83% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.66% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)79.34% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.56% (0.203 0.2)37.43% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.78% (0.201 0.2)74.21% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.22099999999999 -0.22)26.01% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.297 -0.3)61.03% (0.292 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Torino 27.32%
    Napoli 45.11%
    Draw 27.56%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.57% (0.081 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.7% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.07% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.32%
1-1 @ 12.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.83% (-0.084999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 45.11%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
17.7%
Draw
11.4%
Napoli
70.9%
79
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Napoli
1-1
Torino
Kvaratskhelia (61')
Osimhen (36'), Jesus (39')
Sanabria (64')
Zapata (31'), Buongiorno (45+3')
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 19
Torino
3-0
Napoli
Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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