UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg

Mar 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
Vitesse

(Roma win 2-1 on aggregate)

Abraham (90+1')
Ibanez (18'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (75'), El Shaarawy (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Wittek (62')
Grbic (42'), Rasmussen (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Roma and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, May 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62

Vitesse

Last Six:

Last Game: AZ 6-1 Vitesse
Sunday, May 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	AZ Alkmaar	33	22	61
6	Vitesse	33	-9	50
7	FC Utrecht	33	8	47

We said: Roma 1-0 Vitesse (Roma win 2-0 on aggregate)

Although they have only scored once in each of their last four games, Roma should make their greater individual quality show in this second leg, where they will wrap up qualification to the quarter-finals. Vitesse have conceded relatively few goals over recent weeks, but not many visitors conquer the Gialorossi at the Olimpico. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 13.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.24%), while for a Vitesse win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Vitesse
60.72%	25.53%	13.75%

Both teams to score 34.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.03%

64.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.13%

83.86%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3%

21.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14%

54.86%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.56%

56.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.28%

88.72%

Score Analysis

Roma 60.72%

Vitesse 13.75%

Draw 25.52%

Roma	Draw	Vitesse
1-0 @ 18.71% 2-0 @ 14.29% 2-1 @ 8.18% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.17% 4-0 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.53% Total : 60.72%	0-0 @ 12.24% 1-1 @ 10.7% 2-2 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.24% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 7.01% 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-2 @ 2% Other @ 1.68% Total : 13.75%