Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
33.37% | 26.2% | 40.42% |
Both teams to score 53.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.6% | 51.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.78% | 73.21% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.86% | 29.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.93% | 65.06% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% | 59.72% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.37% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.3% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.98% 0-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
2 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
4 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
6 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |