Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 9, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia0 - 3AC Milan
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: Venezia 1-2 AC Milan
Though virus-stricken Milan may be undermanned in certain areas - particularly defence - their hosts have conceded goals at a rate of nearly two per game on home soil this season, so are vulnerable to the Rossoneri's rapid counter-attacks. Another Venezia defeat will leave them teetering above the drop zone, while Pioli and company are set to stride on in pursuit of that elusive 19th Scudetto. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 0-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Venezia win it was 2-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | AC Milan |
| 18.07% | 19.99% | 61.93% |
| Both teams to score 58.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
