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Serie A
Venezia
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Parma logo

Venezia
1 - 2
Parma

Nicolussi (5')
Andersen (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valeri (17'), Bonny (68')
Cancellieri (50'), Charpentier (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Parma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Parma

All competitions
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Venezia 2-2 Parma

 Though Parma are more potent than their hosts up front, they have consistently paid for some costly slip-ups, losing seven points from leading positions away from home. For all their flaws, Venezia are yet to drop points from in front at Stadio Penzo, and they should at least secure a home draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VeneziaDrawParma
44.25% (-0.131 -0.13) 24.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 30.8% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.13% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)21.22% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.144 -0.14)54.12% (0.141 0.14)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)64.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 44.25%
    Parma 30.8%
    Draw 24.95%
VeneziaDrawParma
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.8%

How you voted: Venezia vs Parma

Venezia
48.6%
Draw
35.1%
Parma
16.2%
37
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Mihaila (21'), Camara (90+10')
Di Chiara (90+8'), Camara (90+11')
Pohjanpalo (26')
Tessmann (16'), Egill Ellertsson (32')
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Venezia
3-2
Parma
Busio (46'), Tessmann (63'), Egill Ellertsson (78')
Benedyczak (54' pen.), Colak (90+3')
Hernani (35'), Di Chiara (36')
May 19, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 38
Parma
2-1
Venezia
Vazquez (12' pen.), Camara (78')
Bernabe (25'), Camara (89')
Pohjanpalo (44')
Ceppitelli (40')
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 19
Venezia
2-2
Parma
Pohjanpalo (70'), Pierini (82')
Vazquez (45' pen., 50')
Aug 17, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Parma
3-1
Venezia
Gervinho (10', 72'), Iacoponi (22')
Alves (61'), Grassi (86')
Aramu (24' pen.)
Capello (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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