Fenerbahce are at the top of their game right now and will be aiming to put the midweek European exit behind them, and resume their push for the title on Sunday. Jesus's side may have too much firepower for the hosts, with Enner Valencia in especially superb form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 56.63%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.36%) and 0-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Alanyaspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
22.73% ( 0.22)	20.64% ( 0.14)	56.63% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 64.09% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.69% (

-0.4)

33.31% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.92% (

-0.46)

55.08% (

0.46)

Alanyaspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.05)

27.33% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-0.06)

62.78% (

0.07)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.2% (

-0.23)

11.8% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.99% (

-0.49)

37.01% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Alanyaspor 22.73%

Fenerbahce 56.63%

Draw 20.64%

Alanyaspor	Draw	Fenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.68% Total : 22.73%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.64%	1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.63%