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Besiktas
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2024 at 4pm UK
Vodafone Park (Istanbul)

Besiktas
3 - 0
Karagumruk

Kilicsoy (62'), Rashica (65'), Fernandes (90+2')
Tiknaz (25'), Zainutdinov (40'), Fernandes (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 4-1 Kayserispor
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Besiktas 2-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Besiktas will be keen to end their poor run of results at home and an opponent like Karagumruk presents the perfect opportunity to do that. The visitors will also come into this with a lot of confidence after their win last time out and a knowledge of the hosts' poor home form. However, we think the Black Eagles will have too much for the Black Red to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
BesiktasDrawFatih Karagumruk
50.7% (0.212 0.21) 23.9% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 25.4% (-0.203 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.74% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26% (-0.151 -0.15)45.74% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94% (-0.142 -0.14)68.05% (0.146 0.15)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)18.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51% (0.038000000000004 0.04)49% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.244 -0.24)31.96% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (-0.281 -0.28)68.42% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Besiktas 50.7%
    Fatih Karagumruk 25.4%
    Draw 23.9%
BesiktasDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.82% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.7%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 25.4%

How you voted: Besiktas vs Karagumruk

Besiktas
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Fatih Karagumruk
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Karagumruk
0-1
Besiktas

Mercan (24'), Veseli (54'), Dresevic (69'), Dursun (90+1')
Fernandes (85')
Uysal (35')
Jan 31, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 22
Karagumruk
1-1
Besiktas
Ozdoyev (49')
Tosun (33')
Dec 2, 2022
4pm
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Besiktas
4-1
Karagumruk
Weghorst (17'), N'Koudou (34'), Muleka (50'), Rosier (90')
Muleka (40'), Vardar (42'), Ucan (67')
Diagne (53')
Ozdoyev (7'), Diagne (43'), Erkin (90+2')
Jan 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Karagumruk
0-1
Besiktas

Dursun (78')
Batshuayi (39' pen.)
Batshuayi (73')
rhs 2.0
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12KonyasporKonyaspor134361521-615
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
15KayserisporKayserispor122641322-912
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor122551015-511
17Bodrumspor133281017-711
18Hatayspor121471119-87
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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