Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Vefa Stadi
Karagumruk0 - 1Besiktas
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-2 Besiktas
With one eye on their European commitment three days later, Besiktas will be tempted to rest several key stars for this one. However, we are backing the away side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
20.45% ( -0.6) | 21.31% ( -0.04) | 58.24% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( -0.67) | 39.59% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( -0.7) | 61.94% ( 0.71) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( -0.96) | 32.92% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.5% ( -1.08) | 69.5% ( 1.08) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( -0.02) | 13.35% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.05) | 40.24% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Fatih Karagumruk 20.45%
Besiktas 58.24%
Draw 21.31%
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.45% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26)0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.49% Total : 58.24% |
How you voted: Karagumruk vs Besiktas
Fatih Karagumruk
10.0%Draw
3.3%Besiktas
86.7%30
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 5pm
Dec 2, 2022
4pm
Club Friendlies
Besiktas 
B
vs.
F
Jan 18, 2022 5pm
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Besiktas
1-0
Karagumruk
Form Guide
