Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
77.74% (![]() | 13.25% (![]() | 9% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.98% (![]() | 26.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.76% (![]() | 46.24% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.61% (![]() | 5.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.87% (![]() | 21.13% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% | 39.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% (![]() | 76.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 9.04% (![]() 3-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.83% 5-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.8% 6-0 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 5.58% Total : 77.74% | 1-1 @ 5.78% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.94% 0-0 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.7% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.18% Total : 9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |