Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
UD Oliveirense	Draw	Gil Vicente
28.46% ( -0.92)	23.07% ( 0.34)	48.47% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 61.33% (

-1.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-2.21)

39.57% (

2.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-2.34)

61.92% (

2.34)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

-1.72)

26.47% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

-2.34)

61.66% (

2.35)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.61)

16.59% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.6% (

-1.11)

46.4% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

UD Oliveirense 28.46%

Gil Vicente 48.47%

Draw 23.06%

UD Oliveirense	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.46%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.47%