Taca da Liga | First Round
Jul 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Carlos Osorio
UD Oliveirense1 - 0Gil Vicente
Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between UD Oliveirense and Gil Vicente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
UD Oliveirense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
28.46% ( -0.92) | 23.07% ( 0.34) | 48.47% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 61.33% ( -1.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.43% ( -2.21) | 39.57% ( 2.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.08% ( -2.34) | 61.92% ( 2.34) |
UD Oliveirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% ( -1.72) | 26.47% ( 1.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.34% ( -2.34) | 61.66% ( 2.35) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.41% ( -0.61) | 16.59% ( 0.62) |