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Benfica
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 23, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Estrela Amadora

Benfica
7 - 0
Estrela Amadora

di Maria (2', 5', 18'), Akturkoglu (59'), Amdouni (81'), Cabral (86', 90')
Rollheiser (74')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Montoia (41'), Martins Travassos (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Taca de Portugal clash between Benfica and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Porto
Sunday, November 10 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional
Sunday, November 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-1 Estrela Amadora

 Following their emphatic victory over Porto last time out, Benfica will look to keep the juggernaut rolling this weekend as they take on an Estrela side who have struggled for consistency this season. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, and their contrasting form, we fancy Lage's men to come away with the desired result in normal time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 4.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 4-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.58%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawEstrela Amadora
85.22% (-0.93900000000001 -0.94) 9.88% (0.403 0.4) 4.91% (0.5389 0.54)
Both teams to score 47.68% (2.784 2.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.17% (0.917 0.92)25.83% (-0.915 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54% (1.172 1.17)46% (-1.17 -1.17)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)4.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.59% (0.022000000000006 0.02)17.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.76% (2.902 2.9)50.24% (-2.901 -2.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (1.917 1.92)84.82% (-1.915 -1.92)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 85.21%
    Estrela Amadora 4.91%
    Draw 9.88%
BenficaDrawEstrela Amadora
3-0 @ 11.19% (-0.65 -0.65)
2-0 @ 10.57% (-0.61 -0.61)
4-0 @ 8.9% (-0.51 -0.51)
3-1 @ 7.71% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.204 0.2)
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.392 -0.39)
4-1 @ 6.13% (0.177 0.18)
5-0 @ 5.66% (-0.322 -0.32)
5-1 @ 3.89% (0.114 0.11)
6-0 @ 3% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.286 0.29)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.228 0.23)
6-1 @ 2.06% (0.061 0.06)
7-0 @ 1.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.34% (0.146 0.15)
7-1 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 85.21%
1-1 @ 4.58% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 2.51% (0.269 0.27)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 9.88%
1-2 @ 1.58% (0.168 0.17)
0-1 @ 1.44% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 4.91%

How you voted: Benfica vs Estrela Amadora

Benfica
95.2%
Draw
4.8%
Estrela Amadora
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Benfica
1-0
Estrela Amadora
Kokcu (19')
Kokcu (34'), Fernandez (36'), Gouveia (59'), Sanches (90+6')

Luiz (36'), dos Santos Santana (72'), Cordeiro (87')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2024 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
Estrela Amadora
1-4
Benfica
Jaba (28')
N'do (45+2')
N'do (71')
Cabral (44'), Silva (45+1'), Otamendi (52'), Leonardo (90+3')
di Maria (41')
> Preview
Aug 19, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Benfica
2-0
Estrela Amadora
Tengstedt (79'), Silva (90+3')
Neves (37'), Mario (44'), Cabral (50')

Omorwa (11'), Mansur (55'), Ciriaco Santos (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Estrela Amadora
2-3
Benfica
Silva (22'), Rodrigues (90+5')
Musa (13'), Chiquinho (29' pen.), Draxler (90')
> Preview
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