Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
We said: SC Farense 0-3 Benfica
Benfica had to dig deep to see off a resilient Santa Clara side in their midweek up outing and will head into Saturday's clash with sky-high confidence. Farense have scored just three league goals this season and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table after a poor start to the campaign, and while they will be looking to find their feet this weekend, we fancy As Aguias to come away with a comfortable victory.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.57% . A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.31% .
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.81%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%) , while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (2.54%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result SC Farense Draw Benfica 8.31% ( -0.03) 14.12% ( 0.04) 77.57% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.32)
66.51% ( -0.32) 33.49% ( 0.32)
44.72% ( -0.36) 55.28% ( 0.36)
53.49% ( -0.3) 46.51% ( 0.3)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.89% ( -0.23) 82.11% ( 0.23)
93% ( -0.07) 6.99% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 74.4% ( -0.19) 25.6% ( 0.19)
SC Farense 8.31%
Benfica 77.55%
Draw 14.12%
SC Farense Draw Benfica 2-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 8.31% 1-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.87% Total : 14.12% 0-2 @ 11.5% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 10.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 77.55%
How you voted: Farense vs Benfica
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