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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Benfica

Farense
1 - 2
Benfica

Poveda (15')
Neto (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandez (21'), Pavlidis (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Farense
Sunday, October 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: SC Farense 0-3 Benfica

Benfica had to dig deep to see off a resilient Santa Clara side in their midweek up outing and will head into Saturday's clash with sky-high confidence. Farense have scored just three league goals this season and find themselves rooted to the bottom of the table after a poor start to the campaign, and while they will be looking to find their feet this weekend, we fancy As Aguias to come away with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 8.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.2%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.63%), while for a SC Farense win it was 2-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawBenfica
8.31% (-0.029 -0.03) 14.12% (0.036 0.04) 77.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.32 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.51% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)33.49% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.72% (-0.363 -0.36)55.28% (0.364 0.36)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.49% (-0.301 -0.3)46.51% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.89% (-0.234 -0.23)82.11% (0.235 0.23)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)6.99% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.4% (-0.187 -0.19)25.6% (0.188 0.19)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 8.31%
    Benfica 77.55%
    Draw 14.12%
SC FarenseDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.49% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 8.31%
1-1 @ 6.63% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 14.12%
0-2 @ 11.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 10.2% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.65% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-4 @ 6.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-5 @ 3.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 77.55%

How you voted: Farense vs Benfica

SC Farense
7.7%
Draw
2.6%
Benfica
89.7%
39
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2024 8pm
Club Friendlies 3
Benfica
5-0
Farense
Luis (32'), Pavlidis (45+3'), Prestianni (47'), Rollheiser (53', 84')
Miguel Geraldes Parente (81')

Balde (77')
Apr 22, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Farense
1-3
Benfica
Belloumi (23')
Falcao (53')
Kokcu (16'), Cabral (34'), Fernandez (67')
Luis (26'), Mario (44')
Dec 8, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Benfica
1-1
Farense
Silva (71')
Otamendi (78'), Mario (82')
Falcao (51')
Muscat (36'), Caseres (90'), Pastor (90')
Feb 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 20
Farense
0-0
Benfica
Pedro (86'), Lucca (90+6')
Gabriel (31'), Otamendi (89')
Oct 4, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 3
Benfica
3-2
Farense
Pizzi (15'), Seferovic (79', 87')
Gabriel (50'), Otamendi (52'), Almeida (71')
Lucca (54'), Fernandes (90+5')
Nunes (34'), Cesar (63'), Scheid (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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