Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Estadio do Canelas Gaia Futebol Clube
Canelas 20101 - 3Maritimo
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Canelas 2010 and Maritimo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Canelas 2010 0-0 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Maritimo 4-1 Mortagua
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 77.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Canelas 2010 had a probability of 8.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Canelas 2010 win it was 2-1 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Canelas 2010 | Draw | Maritimo |
8.61% ( 0.03) | 14.23% ( 0.01) | 77.15% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
