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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Maritimo

Estoril
3 - 1
Maritimo

Marques (15'), Joaozinho (80'), Yusuf (83')
Marques (61'), Gamboa (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Winck (68' pen.)
Brito (9'), Costa (43'), Marques (56'), China (57')
China (71'), Rene (73'), M. Gomes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 2-1 Maritimo

This match ultimately has no bearing on the league standing, but both teams will be pushing hard simply because of how tough their campaigns have been. Estoril Praia have been putting together a good run toward the end of the season and considering they have the home advantage they should be able to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawMaritimo
49.51% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 25.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.43% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 52.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42%50.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51%72.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)20.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)52.89% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.25% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 49.51%
    Maritimo 25.43%
    Draw 25.05%
Estoril PraiaDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 9.46%
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.51%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 25.43%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 17
Maritimo
1-0
Estoril
Rene (3')
Costa (27'), Val (41'), Afonso (57'), Liza (64'), de Lacerda (67'), Rene (83'), Costa (90')
Afonso (60')

Lea Siliki (47'), Carvalho (61')
Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 21
Maritimo
0-0
Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 4
Estoril
2-1
Maritimo
Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')
Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')
Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Maritimo
1-3
Estoril
Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')
Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')
Apr 7, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Maritimo
Evangelista (30' pen.)
Fonseca (65'), Ailton (75'), Dankler (99')
Joel (52')
Ruben (11'), Bebeto (29'), Valente (74'), Joel (90'), Cleber (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13AVS172961324-1115
14Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16Nacional163491123-1213
17SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512


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