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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Vizela

Maritimo
1 - 0
Vizela

Winck (90+5')
Afonso (72'), Costa (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Samu (55'), Afonso (74'), Mendez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Vizela

All competitions
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 1-0 Vizela

 Vizela's season is faltering with nothing left to play for, as no side in the league has picked up fewer points in the last five matchdays. Despite poor recent form, Maritimo will look to take advantage of their opponent's drop off in results to ensure a spot in the relegation playoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maritimo in this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawVizela
41.42% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 27.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 31.18% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.72% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.069000000000003 0.07)56.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.056999999999999 0.06)77.65% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)26.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)62.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.104 0.1)33.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.115 0.12)69.93% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 41.42%
    Vizela 31.18%
    Draw 27.39%
MaritimoDrawVizela
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.42%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Vizela

Maritimo
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Vizela
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 16
Vizela
3-0
Maritimo
Osmajic (3', 5'), Anderson (75')
Afonso (40')

Winck (43'), Brito (45+2'), Costa (57'), Val (78')
Costa (53')
May 8, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 33
Vizela
1-1
Maritimo
Bondoso (56')
Claudemir (53'), Moreira (66'), Cassiano (71'), Mendez (75')
Guitane (61')
Costa (5'), Rossi (59')
Dec 28, 2021 7pm
gameweek 16
Maritimo
2-0
Vizela
Joel (54' pen.), Guitane (72')
Rossi (25'), Costa (82')

Ofori (35'), Wilson (50'), Kouao (55'), Zohi (90')
Moreira (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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