Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maritimo in this match.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Vizela |
41.42% ( -0.09) | 27.4% ( -0.01) | 31.18% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 48.72% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.3% ( 0.07) | 56.69% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.35% ( 0.06) | 77.65% ( -0.06) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.05% ( -0.02) | 26.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( -0.02) | 62.28% ( 0.02) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.69% ( 0.1) | 33.31% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.07% ( 0.12) | 69.93% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.42% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.39% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |