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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 19, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Vizela

Maritimo
1 - 0
Vizela

Winck (90+5')
Afonso (72'), Costa (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Samu (55'), Afonso (74'), Mendez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 1-0 Vizela

Vizela's season is faltering with nothing left to play for, as no side in the league has picked up fewer points in the last five matchdays. Despite poor recent form, Maritimo will look to take advantage of their opponent's drop off in results to ensure a spot in the relegation playoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maritimo in this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawVizela
41.42% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 27.4% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 31.18% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 48.72% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (0.069000000000003 0.07)56.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.056999999999999 0.06)77.65% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)26.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)62.28% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.104 0.1)33.31% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.115 0.12)69.93% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 41.42%
    Vizela 31.18%
    Draw 27.39%
MaritimoDrawVizela
1-0 @ 11.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.42%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.39%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Vizela

Maritimo
61.9%
Draw
19.0%
Vizela
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3.30pm
gameweek 16
Vizela
3-0
Maritimo
Osmajic (3', 5'), Anderson (75')
Afonso (40')

Winck (43'), Brito (45+2'), Costa (57'), Val (78')
Costa (53')
May 8, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 33
Vizela
1-1
Maritimo
Bondoso (56')
Claudemir (53'), Moreira (66'), Cassiano (71'), Mendez (75')
Guitane (61')
Costa (5'), Rossi (59')
Dec 28, 2021 7pm
gameweek 16
Maritimo
2-0
Vizela
Joel (54' pen.), Guitane (72')
Rossi (25'), Costa (82')

Ofori (35'), Wilson (50'), Kouao (55'), Zohi (90')
Moreira (45+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
6Santa ClaraSanta Clara106041312118
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15Nacional9225613-78
16AroucaArouca10217619-137
17Estrela Amadora10136820-126
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


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