Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 19, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 0
Vizela

Winck (90+5')
Afonso (72'), Costa (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Samu (55'), Afonso (74'), Mendez (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela's season is faltering with nothing left to play for, as no side in the league has picked up fewer points in the last five matchdays. Despite poor recent form, Maritimo will look to take advantage of their opponent's drop off in results to ensure a spot in the relegation playoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maritimo in this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Vizela
41.42% ( -0.09)	27.4% ( -0.01)	31.18% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 48.72% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.3% (

0.07)

56.69% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

0.06)

77.65% (

-0.06)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05% (

-0.02)

26.95% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

-0.02)

62.28% (

0.02)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

0.1)

33.31% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.07% (

0.12)

69.93% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 41.42%

Vizela 31.18%

Draw 27.39%

Maritimo	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.42%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 31.18%