MX23RW : Sunday, January 26 06:17:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
4 - 0
Airbus UK

Marsh-Hughes (1', 28', 59'), Gosset (49')
Gosset (67'), Simpson (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Eyre (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Airbus UK Broughton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Pontypridd
Saturday, March 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Airbus UK Broughton had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for an Airbus UK Broughton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
53.71% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.03% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.74% (0.073 0.07)45.26% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4% (0.07 0.07)67.6% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)16.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.75% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Airbus UK Broughton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.72% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.107 0.11)70.38% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 53.7%
    Airbus UK Broughton 23.03%
    Draw 23.27%
Caernarfon TownDrawAirbus UK Broughton
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 53.7%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 5.66% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.03%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Airbus UK
0-3
Caernarfon

Edwards (3'), Peers (6'), Leblanc-Akpo (43')
Hughes (4' pen.), Faux (19'), Thomas (47')
Hughes (41')
Sep 2, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-1
Airbus UK
Bradley (50', 90', 90'), Hughes (76')
Cartwright (83'), Cartwright (83')
Tomassen (40')
Eyre (65')
Dec 13, 2019 7.45pm
Caernarfon
5-0
Airbus UK
Thomas (58', 71'), Bradley (66'), Smith (86'), Jones (90')
Aug 30, 2019 8pm
Airbus UK
2-3
Caernarfon
Owens (7'), Edwards (72')
Sargent (19'), Palmer (38'), Gharbaoui (46'), Phillips (54'), Owens (80')
Strong (71' og.), Thomas (79'), Breese (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
8pm
Washington
@
Eagles
11.30pm
Bills
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest23127432131943
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2371153024632
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2375113328526
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2372142948-1923
4Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


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