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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
Aberystwyth


Gosset (30'), Simpson (77'), Hughes (78')
Bell (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flint (41')
Flint (54'), Cadwallader (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
41.67% (1.355 1.36) 25.1% (-0.473 -0.47) 33.23% (-0.875 -0.88)
Both teams to score 56.74% (1.384 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (1.899 1.9)46.7% (-1.893 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (1.754 1.75)68.97% (-1.749 -1.75)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (1.504 1.5)22.35% (-1.498 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (2.204 2.2)55.83% (-2.198 -2.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.37899999999999 0.38)26.93% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (0.493 0.49)62.27% (-0.486 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 41.67%
    Aberystwyth Town 33.23%
    Draw 25.1%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.316 -0.32)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.278 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.211 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.172 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.67%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.493 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.23%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
Alun (89')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Faux (76')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Spain
vs.
France
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Netherlands
vs.
England
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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