MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 18:35:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
Aberystwyth


Gosset (30'), Simpson (77'), Hughes (78')
Bell (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flint (41')
Flint (54'), Cadwallader (80')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 1-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, March 11 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
41.67% (1.355 1.36) 25.1% (-0.473 -0.47) 33.23% (-0.875 -0.88)
Both teams to score 56.74% (1.384 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.3% (1.899 1.9)46.7% (-1.893 -1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.03% (1.754 1.75)68.97% (-1.749 -1.75)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (1.504 1.5)22.35% (-1.498 -1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (2.204 2.2)55.83% (-2.198 -2.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07% (0.37899999999999 0.38)26.93% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.74% (0.493 0.49)62.27% (-0.486 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 41.67%
    Aberystwyth Town 33.23%
    Draw 25.1%
Caernarfon TownDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.316 -0.32)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.278 0.28)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.178 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.211 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.66% (0.172 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 41.67%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.493 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.307 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.23%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
Alun (89')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Faux (76')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints27220576284866
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont27166548272154
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest27139535191648
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU27125104137441
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon27125104444041
6Bala TownBala Town2771193434032
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry2711794246-440
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay271051239291035
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2793153754-1730
4Briton Ferry2774164257-1525
5Newtown AFCNewtown2767143052-2225
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2752202263-4117
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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