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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
UWA Sports Park A

Pontypridd
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Donohue (45+1'), Hughes (90+2'), Edwards (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 4-1 Pontypridd
Saturday, January 21 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 21 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
43.58%23.45%32.97%
Both teams to score 62.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63%61.36%
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63%49.37%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58%57.42%
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 43.58%
    Caernarfon Town 32.97%
    Draw 23.44%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Gosset (31')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


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