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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
UWA Sports Park A

Pontypridd
1 - 0
Caernarfon

Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Donohue (45+1'), Hughes (90+2'), Edwards (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 4-1 Pontypridd
Saturday, January 21 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 2-1 Caernarfon
Saturday, January 21 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 43.58%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pontypridd Town AFC would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
43.58%23.45%32.97%
Both teams to score 62.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.96%39.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63%61.36%
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63%49.37%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58%57.42%
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 43.58%
    Caernarfon Town 32.97%
    Draw 23.44%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.97%
1-0 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.69%
3-0 @ 3.5%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.58%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.67%
0-1 @ 6.22%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.97%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Gosset (31')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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