MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 01:54:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 21, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Caernarfon

Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Arnison (32'), Evans (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alun (89')
Hughes (32'), John Williams (34'), Faux (38')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Airbus UK 0-3 Caernarfon
Tuesday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 38.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.71%) and 0-2 (4.88%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
38.3% (1.074 1.07) 22.65% (-0.267 -0.27) 39.05% (-0.803 -0.8)
Both teams to score 66.78% (1.132 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.99% (1.441 1.44)34.01% (-1.438 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.13% (1.613 1.61)55.87% (-1.611 -1.61)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (1.126 1.13)18.45% (-1.122 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (1.865 1.87)49.63% (-1.862 -1.86)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (0.265 0.27)18.12% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (0.45 0.45)49.07% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 38.3%
    Caernarfon Town 39.05%
    Draw 22.65%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.65% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.192 0.19)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.144 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.076 0.08)
4-3 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-2 @ 6.97% (0.101 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-3 @ 2.24% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.383 -0.38)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.283 -0.28)
1-3 @ 4.69% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.69% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.05%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
Dec 17, 2021 7.45pm
Caernarfon
3-3
Aberystwyth
Evans (10'), John Williams (25'), Gosset (68')
Donohue (4'), John Williams (33'), Ojrzynski (58'), Cartwright (90')
Franklin (28'), Jones (59' pen., 62')
Davies (78')
Oct 9, 2021 2.30pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Caernarfon

Rimmer (6'), (39'), (64')
Thomas (17')
French (19'), (31'), (32')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-2
Aberystwyth
Bickerstaff (84'), Bradley (88')
Kenny (52'), (54'), (89'), (90+4'), (90+5')
Owen (40'), Jenkins (90+5')
Williams (44'), Owen (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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