Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 2Pontypridd
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
39
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
27
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
34.97% ( 0.08) | 24.88% ( -0.03) | 40.15% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.68% ( 0.15) | 45.32% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.34% ( 0.14) | 67.66% ( -0.14) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.76% ( 0.12) | 25.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.01% ( 0.16) | 59.99% ( -0.15) |
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( 0.04) | 22.49% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( 0.06) | 56.05% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 34.97%
Pontypridd Town AFC 40.15%
Draw 24.88%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Pontypridd Town AFC |
2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.97% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 40.15% |
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Pontypridd
1-0
Caernarfon
Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')
Donohue (45+1'), Edwards (90'), Hughes (90+2')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-23 08:30:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 23 | 37 |
2 | The New SaintsNew Saints | 15 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 33 |
3 | Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Cardiff MUCardiff MU | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
5 | Barry Town UnitedBarry | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
6 | Caernarfon TownCaernarfon | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Bala TownBala Town | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Newtown AFCNewtown | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 19 |
10 | Briton Ferry | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 11 |
11 | Flint Town UnitedFlint Town | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 11 |
12 | Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 10 |
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