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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Pontypridd

Wynne (59')
Donohue (31'), Edwards (33'), Tibbetts (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')
Wright (31'), Cummings (39'), Rees (64'), Williams (72'), Davies (84'), Ahmun (90+5'), Ratcliffe (90')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Caernarfon
Saturday, April 8 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Pontypridd
Friday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Pontypridd Town AFC in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
34.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 24.88% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 40.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.15 0.15)45.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.143 0.14)67.66% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76% (0.117 0.12)25.24% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01% (0.158 0.16)59.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.51% (0.040999999999997 0.04)22.49% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.95% (0.061 0.06)56.05% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 34.97%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 40.15%
    Draw 24.88%
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 34.97%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 40.15%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Pontypridd
1-0
Caernarfon
Margetson (39')
Lewis (87'), Cummings (90+2')

Donohue (45+1'), Edwards (90'), Hughes (90+2')
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Gosset (31')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont23155343182550
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU2310583430435
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
6Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry239683439-533
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2364133547-1222
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2355132648-2220
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2342171955-3614
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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