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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Jan 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ground Cae-y-Castell

Flint Town
1 - 1
Aberystwyth

H (72')
Harrison (44'), Kavanagh (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (37')
Thorn (55'), Kirkman (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Flint Town United and Aberystwyth Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flint Town 0-0 Connah's Quay
Saturday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 6-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, December 30 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 21.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Flint Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
55.01% (0.227 0.23) 23.47% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 21.51% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 52.47% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (0.14 0.14)47.84% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.97% (0.128 0.13)70.02% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Flint Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (0.13199999999999 0.13)17.25% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (0.237 0.24)47.57% (-0.241 -0.24)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)36.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-0.07 -0.07)73.37% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Flint Town United 55.01%
    Aberystwyth Town 21.51%
    Draw 23.47%
Flint Town UnitedDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.74% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.71% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 55.01%
1-1 @ 11.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 21.51%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 8pm
Aberystwyth
2-1
Flint Town
Thorn (65'), Flint (85' pen.)
Hughes (81')
Harrison (43')
Oct 29, 2021 8pm
Aberystwyth
1-2
Flint Town
Bradford (65')
Jones (19'), Bradford (90+6')
Kenny (29', 69')
Harwood (3'), Kenny (20'), Maher (57')
Aug 28, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
1-0
Aberystwyth
Jones (90+4')
Phillips (88')

Veale (37'), Franklin (61'), Zabret (78'), Jones (90+3'), Phillips (90+3')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Flint Town
0-0
Aberystwyth

Maher (45+2'), Bratley (55'), Nash (59'), Hart (79'), Edwards (90+2'), Rushton (90+3')
Amis (45+4')

Franklin (34'), Kearney (43'), Jones (45+2'), Owen (79'), Jenkins (90+4')
Franklin (34')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Aberystwyth
0-1
Flint Town

Franklin (12'), Jones (67'), J (72'), Rimmer (90+1')
Amis (73')
Clarke (81'), Foulkes (87'), Amis (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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