MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 14:37:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
2 - 1
Pontypridd

Evans (4', 32')
Thorn (22'), Bradford (45+2'), Davies (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Green (31')
Green (83'), Woodiwiss (90+3'), Evans (90+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-5 Connah's Quay
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
36.1% (0.73099999999999 0.73) 25.15% (0.292 0.29) 38.75% (-1.022 -1.02)
Both teams to score 57.17% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (-1.262 -1.26)46.39% (1.265 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (-1.2 -1.2)68.68% (1.202 1.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-0.176 -0.18)25.1% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.2% (-0.245 -0.25)59.8% (0.246 0.25)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-1.078 -1.08)23.67% (1.08 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-1.579 -1.58)57.78% (1.582 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 36.1%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 38.75%
    Draw 25.14%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.391 0.39)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.94% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.186 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.17% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Pontypridd
2-1
Aberystwyth
Jones (26'), Ahmun (75')
Green (58')
Darlington (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!