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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo

Caernarfon
2 - 1
Newtown

Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-4 Caernarfon
Sunday, August 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
43.37% (-0.417 -0.42) 23.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 32.72% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.8% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.112 -0.11)41.31% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.114 -0.11)63.71% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.226 -0.23)19.3% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.369 -0.37)51.06% (0.366 0.37)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.16 0.16)24.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.226 0.23)59.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 43.37%
    Newtown AFC 32.72%
    Draw 23.9%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
2-1
Caernarfon
Rushton (3'), Williams (23')
Wynne (55')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Newtown
1-0
Caernarfon
Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown

Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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