MX23RW : Friday, January 24 14:35:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Davies (11', 58'), Kenny (24'), Harrington (90')
Davies (36'), Kenny (65'), Disney (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Venables (70' pen.), Jefferies (81')
Little (22'), Evans (65'), Kircough (68'), Owen (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Barry
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
46.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.91% (0.052 0.05)60.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.7% (0.039000000000001 0.04)80.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (0.02300000000001 0.02)25.86% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)60.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)39.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)76.17% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 46.55%
    Pen-y-Bont 25.76%
    Draw 27.67%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.55%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.76%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Nash (65')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
3Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
4Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
5Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!