MX23RW : Wednesday, October 2 17:31:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Deeside College Stadium

Connah's Quay
4 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Davies (11', 58'), Kenny (24'), Harrington (90')
Davies (36'), Kenny (65'), Disney (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Venables (70' pen.), Jefferies (81')
Little (22'), Evans (65'), Kircough (68'), Owen (90+1')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Barry
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 46.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
46.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.68% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 25.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.91% (0.052 0.05)60.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.7% (0.039000000000001 0.04)80.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (0.02300000000001 0.02)25.86% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.16% (0.027999999999999 0.03)60.83% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (0.048000000000002 0.05)39.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)76.17% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 46.55%
    Pen-y-Bont 25.76%
    Draw 27.67%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 13.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 46.55%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 10.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 25.76%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Connah's Quay
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Nash (65')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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