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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 22, 2023 at 8pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 2
Pen-y-Bont

Thorn (90+3')
Owen (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reynolds (48', 59')
Kircough (83'), Evans (90+2')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 3-1 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
20.03% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 23.62% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 56.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.23% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)72.19% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.015999999999998 0.02)39.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)76.16% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.64% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)48.25% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 20.03%
    Pen-y-Bont 56.33%
    Draw 23.62%
Aberystwyth TownDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 20.03%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.62%
0-1 @ 12.07%
0-2 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-4 @ 2.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.33%

Head to Head
Jan 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont
Reffell (24'), Georgievsky (38'), Rimmer (64' og.)
Sep 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Pen-y-Bont
3-1
Aberystwyth
Borge (26'), Wood (39' pen.), Owen (83')
Flint (34' pen.)
Jan 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Pen-y-Bont
4-0
Aberystwyth
Ahmun (8', 15', 20'), Wood (77')
Evans (60')

Owen (52'), Rimmer (90')
Darlington (60')
Oct 22, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
0-3
Pen-y-Bont

Jones (29'), Jenkins (90+1')
Waite (16', 49'), Watts (34')
Jefferies (90+2')
Mar 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
1-1
Pen-y-Bont
Franklin (33')
Williams (49'), Owen (72'), Owen (77'), Roberts (80'), Thorn (82')
Owen (90+4')
Davies (59')
Snaith (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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