Things can only get better for Cyprus after a dismal few years, and this fixture will paint a clear picture of where they are at, and whether they can be competitive in the section.
After a fantastic win on matchday one, it would be typical of Bosnia to blunder and drop points in this easier clash on paper, but they should get the job done against a side 56 places below them in the rankings, and they will fancy their chances of keeping a first clean sheet in nine home matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bosnia-Herzegovina would win this match.
-3.69) 
4.09) 
