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World Cup
Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Centenario
Colombia national football team

Uruguay
3 - 2
Colombia

Sanchez (57' og.), Aguirre (60'), Ugarte (90+11')
Bentancur (26'), Aguirre (37'), Valverde (69'), Nandez (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Quintero (31'), Gomez (90+6')
Quintero (25'), Duran (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Uruguay and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Colombia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina111322
2Colombia10719
3Ecuador11619
4Brazil11617
5Uruguay10716
6Paraguay11116
7Venezuela11-212
8Bolivia11-1412
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

We said: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia

 Uruguay's only two wins in their last seven games both came on penalties at the Copa America, including in the third-place playoff, and ending a four-game scoreless run will be pivotal to getting back on track here. Colombia are a very threatening side under Lorenzo though, and ignoring their blip in the altitude of Bolivia, they have been very consistent in this qualifying campaign, and will be confident of a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 41.72%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 28.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.51%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
UruguayDrawColombia
41.72% (-0.621 -0.62) 29.69% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 28.58% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 41.49% (0.474 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.81% (0.414 0.41)65.19% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.98% (0.286 0.29)84.02% (-0.289 -0.29)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)30.91% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (-0.172 -0.17)67.2% (0.172 0.17)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.81 0.81)39.94% (-0.811 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.735 0.73)76.6% (-0.736 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 41.72%
    Colombia 28.58%
    Draw 29.68%
UruguayDrawColombia
1-0 @ 14.49% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-0 @ 8.51% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.72%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 12.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.68%
0-1 @ 11.33% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 5.2% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.87% (0.085 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 28.58%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Colombia

Uruguay
29.3%
Draw
31.3%
Colombia
39.4%
99
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 1am
Semi-Finals
Uruguay
0-1
Colombia

de la Cruz (26'), Varela (63'), Gimenez (69')
Varela (90+8')
Lerma (39')
Munoz (31'), Rodriguez (55'), Castano (90+6'), Cuesta (90+7')
Munoz (45+1')
> Preview
Oct 12, 2023 9.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
2-2
Uruguay
Rodriguez (35'), Uribe (52')
Vargas (8')
Vargas (87')
Olivera (47'), Nunez (90+1' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
Bentancur (15')
Uribe (50'), Cuadrado (63'), Mojica (90')
> Preview
Jul 3, 2021 11pm
Quarter-Finals
Uruguay
0-0
Colombia
(Aggregate 0-0 | Colombia win 4-2 on penalties)
Godin (35')
> Preview
Nov 13, 2020 8.30pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-3
Uruguay

Mina (20'), Diaz (72'), Lerma (74'), Cardona (76')
Mina (90')
Cavani (5'), Suarez (54' pen.), Nunez (73')
Nandez (49')
> Preview
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