MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:16:15| >> :600:252557:252557:
Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Ecuador national football team

Brazil
1 - 0
Ecuador

Rodrygo (30')
Moura (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Brazil and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Friday's 2026 World Cup qualifier against Ecuador.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Brazil (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 1-1 Ecuador (4-2 pen.)
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Brazil 2-1 Ecuador

Brazil will be motivated to produce a positive response after a disappointing Copa America campaign, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim maximum points and extend their unbeaten run in head-to-head matches to 13 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.

Result
BrazilDrawEcuador
64.01% (-1.455 -1.46) 22.56% (0.81 0.81) 13.43% (0.644 0.64)
Both teams to score 40.09% (-0.492 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (-1.664 -1.66)56.26% (1.662 1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (-1.365 -1.37)77.3% (1.364 1.36)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-1.077 -1.08)17.09% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-1.934 -1.93)47.29% (1.933 1.93)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)51.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.23% (0.02 0.02)85.77% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 64.01%
    Ecuador 13.43%
    Draw 22.55%
BrazilDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 15.59% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 13.77% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.11% (-0.365 -0.37)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.299 -0.3)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 64.01%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.3 0.3)
0-0 @ 8.83% (0.55 0.55)
2-2 @ 3.01% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.369 0.37)
1-2 @ 3.41% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Brazil vs Ecuador

Brazil
77.5%
Draw
8.1%
Ecuador
14.4%
160
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2022 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-1
Brazil
Torres (75')
Valencia (70'), Caicedo (78')
Dominguez (15')
Casemiro (6')
Emerson (1'), Becker (31'), Raphinha (42'), Militao (45+2')
Emerson (20')
Jun 27, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Brazil
1-1
Ecuador
Militao (37')
Mena (53')
Estupinan (83')
Jun 5, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
2-0
Ecuador
Fred (36')
Preciado (26'), Valencia (54'), Dominguez (90+2')
Sep 1, 2017 1.45am
Group Stage
Brazil
2-0
Ecuador
Paulinho (69'), Coutinho (76')
Sep 10, 2014 2am
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Ecuador
Willian (31')

Erazo (80')
rhs 2.0
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