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Ecuador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 11, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
Venezuela national football team

Ecuador
1 - 0
Venezuela

Hincapie (41')
Plata (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ramirez (16'), Andres Martinez (25'), Martinez (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawVenezuela
55.58%22.54%21.88%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.63%43.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.23%65.77%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.53%15.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.66%44.34%
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28%33.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62%70.38%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 55.58%
    Venezuela 21.88%
    Draw 22.54%
EcuadorDrawVenezuela
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 6.14%
3-0 @ 5.65%
3-2 @ 3.34%
4-1 @ 2.87%
4-0 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 1.56%
5-1 @ 1.07%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.58%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.37%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.08%
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Venezuela

Ecuador
78.1%
Draw
13.7%
Venezuela
8.2%
73
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2021 9.30pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-1
Ecuador
Machis (45+1'), Bello (64')
Rincon (45+4'), Moreno (87'), Aristeguieta (90+4'), Andres Martinez (90+5')
Valencia (37' pen.)
Mena (62'), Torres (85')
Jun 20, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
2-2
Ecuador
Castillo (51'), Hernandez (90+1')
Preciado (39'), Plata (71')
Valencia (21'), Preciado (45+3'), Caicedo (81')
Jun 2, 2019 2am
International Friendlies
Venezuela
1-1
Ecuador
Rosales (38' pen.)
Herrera (32'), Figuera (35')
Valencia (91')
Chicaiza (7')
rhs 2.0
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