World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 4pm UK
Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex
Liberia2 - 1Sao Tome
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Liberia and Sao Tome & Principe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Tunisia
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Eq Guinea 2-0 Sao Tome
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 74.96%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 6.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.57%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 0-1 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liberia | Draw | Sao Tome & Principe |
74.96% ( -0.66) | 18.05% ( 0.4) | 6.99% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 30.89% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
