World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Mimoun Al Arsi
Madagascar0 - 3Ghana
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: CAR 1-4 Madagascar
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Wednesday, March 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Ghana 5-0 Chad
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, March 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
We said: Madagascar 1-1 Ghana
Considering the strength of their previous opponents, Madagascar had the tougher test, and while their statement win boosts confidence, the lack of full home support at a neutral venue could hold them back from taking maximum points, making a draw the likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 45.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Madagascar | Draw | Ghana |
25.99% ( -1.22) | 28.09% ( -0.52) | 45.91% ( 1.74) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
