World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Venezuela0 - 0Uruguay
FT
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolivia 4-0 Venezuela
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Thursday, September 5 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Paraguay
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Saturday, September 7 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Venezuela 1-1 Uruguay
Uruguay are still having to cope without the services of several key players, and we think that they will have to settle for a draw, especially as Venezuela have avoided defeat in all three of their home matches in 2026 World Cup qualifying. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 42.01%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.44%), while for a Venezuela win it was 1-0 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezuela | Draw | Uruguay |
26.96% ( 0.34) | 31.03% ( 0.31) | 42.01% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 37.66% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
