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Uruguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Paraguay national football team

Uruguay
0 - 0
Paraguay


Valverde (37'), Bueno (79'), Nandez (84'), Suarez (85')
FT

Gomez (20'), Cubas (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Uruguay and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 1-1 Guatemala
Monday, September 2 at 12am in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Costa Rica 2-1 Paraguay
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Uruguay 3-0 Paraguay

The hosts will want to produce a strong performance to give Suarez the perfect send-off in his final game for the country, and they should comfortably beat a poor Paraguay side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.12%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
UruguayDrawParaguay
60.42% (-0.167 -0.17) 24.22% (0.124 0.12) 15.36% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 40.12% (-0.21 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.23% (-0.341 -0.34)58.76% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.71% (-0.267 -0.27)79.29% (0.268 0.27)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.67% (-0.19199999999999 -0.19)19.32% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (-0.319 -0.32)51.09% (0.321 0.32)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.73% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)50.26% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.16% (-0.099 -0.1)84.84% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 60.41%
    Paraguay 15.36%
    Draw 24.22%
UruguayDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 15.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 60.41%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.71% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 15.36%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Paraguay

Uruguay
89.3%
Draw
7.1%
Paraguay
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2022 11pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
0-1
Uruguay
Suarez (50')
Jun 29, 2021 1am
Jun 3, 2021 11pm
Sep 6, 2017 1am
Group Stage
Paraguay
1-2
Uruguay
Romero (88')
Valverde (76'), Gomez (80' og.)
Jun 20, 2015 8pm
rhs 2.0
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