Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.