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Adelaide United
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Macarthur
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Feb 22, 2025 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Auckland FC
vs.
Wellington

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 1 at 4am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Western Utd vs. Auckland FC
Saturday, February 15 at 7am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Victory vs. Wellington
Friday, February 14 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Auckland FC win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 26.07% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
49.51% (0.873 0.87) 24.42% (0.032 0.03) 26.07% (-0.903 -0.9)
Both teams to score 54.69% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.809 -0.81)47.43% (0.812 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.754 -0.75)69.65% (0.756 0.76)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.037000000000006 0.04)19.2% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.11% (0.058 0.06)50.89% (-0.055 -0.05)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-1.135 -1.13)32.32% (1.137 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (-1.302 -1.3)68.83% (1.306 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 49.51%
    Wellington Phoenix 26.07%
    Draw 24.41%
Auckland FCDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.352 0.35)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.3 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.072 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.51%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 4am
Gameweek 7
Auckland FC
2-1
Wellington
Hughes (31' og.), Pijnaker (70')
Howieson (53')
Barbarouses (82')
Ishige (17'), Sutton (43'), Retre (50'), Barbarouses (67'), Rufer (78'), Italiano (88')
Nov 2, 2024 4am
Gameweek 3
Wellington
0-2
Auckland FC
Brimmer (89', 90+6')
Verstraete (57'), Moreno (82')
rhs 2.0
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