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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Feb 14, 2025 at 8.35am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
vs.
Wellington

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-0 Victory
Saturday, February 8 at 6am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Thursday, February 6 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw has a probability of 22.1% and a win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it is 1-2 (5.79%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
55.93% (0.52 0.52) 22.06% (0.041 0.04) 22% (-0.57 -0.57)
Both teams to score 57.86% (-0.954 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (-0.896 -0.9)41.02% (0.887 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)63.42% (0.911 0.91)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.143 -0.14)14.54% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41% (-0.266 -0.27)42.58% (0.256 0.26)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.71% (-1.007 -1.01)32.29% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.21% (-1.152 -1.15)68.79% (1.144 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 55.93%
    Wellington Phoenix 22%
    Draw 22.05%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.05% (0.319 0.32)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.7% (0.187 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 22%

Who will win Friday's Australian A-League clash between Victory and Wellington?

Melbourne Victory
Draw
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 2.30am
Gameweek 5
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Barbarouses (82')
Rufer (62')

Bos (30')
May 18, 2024 7.30am
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (90+9')
Salas (90+1')
Traore (82'), Ikonomidis (102')
Arzani (30'), Chapman (97')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 7am
Victory
0-0
Wellington
Arzani (88')
Ball (41'), Pennington (52'), Rufer (90+5')
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
rhs 2.0
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