Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.62% (![]() | 22.98% (![]() | 49.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.23% (![]() | 39.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.87% (![]() | 62.13% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.85% (![]() | 27.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.45% (![]() | 62.56% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% (![]() | 16.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.08% (![]() | 45.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 6.83% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 10.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.49% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.73% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 33 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 31 |
3 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 26 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 25 |
5 | Macarthur | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 21 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 10 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 6 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |