Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.