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AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 17, 2024 at 11am UK
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Ulsan
1 - 0
Yokohama

Lee (19')
Min-Kyu (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Amano (85'), Matsubara (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ulsan Hyundai

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Last Game: Ulsan 1-0 Jeonbuk
Tuesday, March 12 at 10am in AFC Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-2 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League

We said: Ulsan Hyundai 1-1 Yokohama F Marinos

 With a second leg to come, it would come as a surprise if either team were particularly gung-ho in this match. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see a low-scoring draw play out at the Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan HyundaiDrawYokohama F Marinos
41.86% (0.961 0.96) 23.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 34.96% (-1.011 -1.01)
Both teams to score 64.25% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.89% (-0.448 -0.45)37.11% (0.449 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (-0.485 -0.48)59.3% (0.486 0.49)
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (0.224 0.22)18.22% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.76% (0.378 0.38)49.24% (-0.377 -0.38)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.71599999999999 -0.72)21.44% (0.717 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-1.116 -1.12)54.45% (1.116 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Ulsan Hyundai 41.86%
    Yokohama F Marinos 34.96%
    Draw 23.17%
Ulsan HyundaiDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.191 0.19)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 41.86%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.17%
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.05% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 34.96%

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