Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
May 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Swedbank Stadion
Malmo2 - 1Elfsborg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Kalmar
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 2-0 Halmstad
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Friday, May 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Goals
for
for
20
We said: Malmo 3-1 Elfsborg
Although Elfsborg have been competitive at the top of the table in recent years they have been notably weaker this campaign. While the visitors did win 3-1 in the reverse fixture it is difficult to ignore Malmo's consistently strong performances across the season as a whole, and their quality should bring them a positive result on Tuesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 70.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elfsborg had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Elfsborg win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Elfsborg |
70.22% ( 0.14) | 17.82% ( -0.06) | 11.96% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
