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Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 18, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Eibar logo

5 - 0

Correa (42', 44'), Carrasco (49'), Llorente (53', 68')
Oliveira (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Preview: Atletico Madrid vs. Eibar - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Top will take on bottom in La Liga this weekend as Atletico Madrid welcome Eibar to Wanda Metropolitano, with both teams desperate to secure all three points but for very different reasons.

Atletico are currently top of the table, one point clear of second-placed Real Madrid, while Eibar occupy 20th position, four points from the safety of 17th spot with eight games left.

Match preview

Atletico Madrid manager Diego Simeone pictured on February 2021© Reuters

There is no question that Atletico will be feeling the heat at the top of the table, and it does appear that the capital giants are stumbling at the worst possible stage of the campaign.

Diego Simeone's side have been the standout side in La Liga for long spells of the season, but they have only won one of their last four domestic fixtures, a run which included a 1-0 defeat to Sevilla on April 4.

Atletico, who shared the points with Real Betis last time out, are still in charge of their own destiny, sitting one point clear of second-placed Real Madrid at the summit.

Barcelona in third are just two points off the top, though, and fourth-placed Sevilla would move to within three points of first place if they manage to overcome Real Sociedad earlier in the afternoon.

The capital giants have the best home record in La Liga this season, picking up 36 points from their 15 matches, while they ran out 2-1 winners when they travelled to Eibar for the reverse fixture in January.

Eibar manager Jose Luis Mendilibar pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Eibar have been present in Spain's top flight since earning promotion at the end of the 2013-14 campaign, but there is no question that they are facing a serious battle to retain their status at this level.

Jose Luis Mendilibar's side are currently propping up the division, having picked up just 23 points from their 30 matches, while they will enter Sunday's contest in disappointing form.

Eibar are without a victory in La Liga since the start of January and have lost four of their last five, including back-to-back defeats to Real Madrid and Levante in their last two fixtures.

Los Armeros are only four points from the safety of 17th position, though, and there is still more than enough time to move out of the bottom three before the end of the campaign.

Mendilibar's team have actually performed better on their travels this season, with 14 of their 23 points coming on the road, which should hand them confidence ahead of this match.

Atletico Madrid La Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D

Atletico Madrid form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D

Eibar La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Team News

Atletico Madrid forward Luis Suarez pictured on March 10, 2021© Reuters

Atletico will again be without the services of Luis Suarez this weekend due to a calf problem, while Joao Felix is unlikely to be available, with the attacker picking up an ankle issue.

Simeone's side are hopeful that Kieran Trippier will overcome a back injury to start, while Mario Hermoso is expected to feature at the back despite picking up a knock in training.

Marcos Llorente was suspended for the draw with Betis but should return to the side, while a lack of options in the final third could see Thomas Lemar feature further forward.

As for Eibar, Pape Diop is unavailable as he serves a one-game suspension, while a long injury list includes Yoshinori Muto, Pedro Bigas, Rober Correa, Edu Exposito and Recio.

On-loan Sevilla attacker Bryan Gil is available after serving a suspension against Levante, but the Spain international has a thigh problem and could therefore start on the bench.

Sergi Enrich and Kike should again feature in attacking positions for the strugglers, while there might be a start in a wide area for Kevin Rodrigues.

Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Savic, Gimenez, Hermoso; Trippier, Koke, Saul, Carrasco; Lemar, Correa, Llorente

Eibar possible starting lineup:
Yoel; Pozo, Oliveira, Arbilla, Cote; Inui, Garcia, Alvarez, Rodrigues; Kike, Enrich

SM words green background

We say: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Eibar

Atletico are certainly having a wobble, but it is very difficult to predict anything other than a home victory in this match. Eibar will take confidence from the fact that Simeone's side will again be missing some key players, but we are expecting a relatively routine home success on Sunday afternoon.

Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data

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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

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Game History

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Group A

Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111

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