Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.
-0.12) 
0.14) 
