MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:35:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Freiburg logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
Dortmund

Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Braut Haaland (37', 77' pen.), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
30.84%23.54%45.62%
Both teams to score 61.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61%40.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.77%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87%60.13%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.87%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.84%
    Borussia Dortmund 45.62%
    Draw 23.53%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
46.5%
Draw
18.6%
Borussia Dortmund
34.9%
129
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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