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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
68.84% ( -0.14) | 17.09% ( 0.04) | 14.07% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.53% ( 0.02) | 52.47% ( -0.02) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.79% ( -0.02) | 8.21% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.27% ( -0.06) | 28.72% ( 0.06) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.19% ( 0.14) | 34.8% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.46% ( 0.14) | 71.54% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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