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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Wirtz (32', 62' pen.), Schick (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kleindienst (90+1')
Cvancara (59'), Lainer (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 1-0 Mainz
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Borussia Monchengladbach

Even though Leverkusen could be forced to field a weakened back three, it is difficult to see Borussia Monchengladbach taking advantage of any weaknesses given their poor offensive displays so far this season. Additionally, Leverkusen's exceptional performances in the past months should give fans optimism that they can win yet again, and their strong home record suggests that the visitors are unlikely to leave with any points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 9.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
76.64% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43) 14.04% (0.212 0.21) 9.32% (0.2199 0.22)
Both teams to score 55.18% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.81% (-0.339 -0.34)29.19% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.79% (-0.417 -0.42)50.21% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.76% (-0.149 -0.15)6.24% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.44% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)23.56% (0.419 0.42)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.85% (0.186 0.19)41.14% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.31% (0.164 0.16)77.68% (-0.163 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 76.64%
    Borussia Monchengladbach 9.32%
    Draw 14.04%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Monchengladbach
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.14% (-0.058000000000002 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.11% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.079 0.08)
4-0 @ 6.34% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-1 @ 5.63% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.52% (-0.084 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 76.64%
1-1 @ 6.33% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 14.04%
1-2 @ 2.81% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 2.28% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 9.32%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Borussia M'bach

Bayer Leverkusen
90.9%
Draw
7.3%
Borussia Monchengladbach
1.8%
55
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Elvedi (59'), Kleindienst (85')
Lainer (90+13')
Xhaka (12'), Wirtz (38', 90+11')
Jan 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
B. Leverkusen
0-0
Borussia M'bach
Xhaka (47'), Schick (66'), Stanisic (74')
Weigl (81')
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Borussia M'bach
0-3
B. Leverkusen

Itakura (45+5'), Cvancara (45+3')
Okoh Boniface (18', 53'), Tah (45+6')
Okoh Boniface (16'), Frimpong (45+3'), Tah (45+4')
May 21, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Borussia M'bach
Adli (15'), Demirbay (20')
Demirbay (45'), Palacios (77'), Amiri (81')
Hincapie (90+4')
Hofmann (58'), Stindl (90')
Kone (35'), Friedrich (47'), Stindl (70')
Jan 22, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Borussia M'bach
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Stindl (82', 90+3')
Bakker (21'), Adli (43'), Amiri (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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