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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Mainz logo

Hertha Berlin
1 - 1
Mainz

Ngankam (18' pen.)
Cigerci (22'), Tousart (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ajorque (57')
Hanche-Olsen (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-1 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, March 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Hoffenheim
Saturday, March 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 0-2 Mainz 05

In addition to winning each of their last four league games – and five of their previous six – Mainz head into Saturday's showdown on the back of successive clean sheets. With that in mind, we expect the 05ers to extend their winning streak to five matches with a third consecutive clean-sheet victory, piling more pressure on relegation-threatened Hertha. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
36.1% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 26.06% (0.035 0.04) 37.84% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.01% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)50.44% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (-0.134 -0.13)72.37% (0.133 0.13)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.116 -0.12)27% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.151 -0.15)62.35% (0.15 0.15)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)26.01% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.96% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)61.03% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 36.1%
    Mainz 05 37.84%
    Draw 26.06%
Hertha BerlinDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.02% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 6.37% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Mainz

Hertha Berlin
25.6%
Draw
20.9%
Mainz 05
53.5%
43
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.30pm
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Hertha Berlin
1-2
Mainz
Selke (45+5' pen.)
Dardai (56'), Darida (80'), Ascacibar (88')
Widmer (25'), Bell (81')
Svensson (45+4'), Caricol (65')
Dec 14, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz
4-0
Hertha Berlin
Jae-sung (19'), Hack (41'), Widmer (49'), Boetius (79')

Serdar (36'), Stark (59')
May 3, 2021 5pm
Mainz
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Mwene (40')
Bell (18'), Barreiro (72')
Tousart (36')
Tousart (39'), Cunha (67'), Ascacibar (74')
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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