Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund4 - 2Heidenheim
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-0 Dortmund
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, August 31 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 4-0 Augsburg
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Heidenheim
Although Heidenheim have made an exceptional start to the 2024-25 season, they have played two physically taxing European games. Considering this, it would not be a surprise if Dortmund were the more energised side on Friday and managed to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Heidenheim |
56.55% ( -0.09) | 22.29% ( 0.04) | 21.15% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.82% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
