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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
52.12% ( -0.13) | 23.35% ( 0.02) | 24.53% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.93% ( 0.01) | 44.07% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.55% ( 0.01) | 66.45% ( -0.01) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% ( -0.04) | 16.93% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.01% ( -0.07) | 46.99% ( 0.07) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% ( 0.09) | 31.78% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% ( 0.11) | 68.21% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
5 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Stuttgart | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 9 |
9 | Heidenheim | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 8 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Augsburg | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
15 | St Pauli | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 2 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 |
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