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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.05% (![]() | 25.1% (![]() | 33.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.48% (![]() | 46.52% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% (![]() | 68.8% (![]() |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.43% | 22.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.84% | 56.17% (![]() |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.53% (![]() | 26.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.35% (![]() | 61.65% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 8.89% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.37% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 11.82% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.94% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |